Risk Modeling, Assessment, and Management (Wiley Series in Systems Engineering and Management)
Yacov Y. Haimes & Andrew P. Sage [Haimes, Yacov Y. & Sage, Andrew P.]Presents systems-based theory, methodology, and applications in risk modeling, assessment, and management
This book examines risk analysis, focusing on quantifying risk and constructing probabilities for real-world decision-making, including engineering, design, technology, institutions, organizations, and policy. The author presents fundamental concepts (hierarchical holographic modeling; state space; decision analysis; multi-objective trade-off analysis) as well as advanced material (extreme events and the partitioned multi-objective risk method; multi-objective decision trees; multi-objective risk impact analysis method; guiding principles in risk analysis); avoids higher mathematics whenever possible; and reinforces the material with examples and case studies. The book will be used in systems engineering, enterprise risk management, engineering management, industrial engineering, civil engineering, and operations research.